Sunday, March 1, 2015

Union Budget 2015-16 highlights

Finance minister Arun Jaitley presented the first full-year Budget of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government on Saturday 28th of Feb.
Here are the highlights of the Union Budget 2015:

Fiscal deficit
* Fiscal deficit seen at 3.9 per cent of GDP in 2015/16
* Will meet the challenging fiscal target of 4.1 per cent of GDP
* Remain committed to meeting medium term fiscal deficit target of 3 per cent of GDP
* Current account deficit below 1.3 per cent of GDP
* Jaitley says have to keep fiscal discipline in mind despite need for higher investment
Growth
* GDP growth seen at between 8 per cent and 8.5 per cent y/y
* Aiming double digit growth rate, achievable soon
Inflation
* Expects consumer inflation to remain close to 5 per cent by March, opening room for more monetary policy easing
* Monetary policy framework agreement with the RBI clearly states objective of keeping inflation below 6 per cent
* "One of the achievements of my government has been to conquer inflation. This decline in my view represents a structural shift."
Revenues
* Revenue deficit seen at 2.8 per cent of GDP
* Non tax revenue seen at Rs 2.21 trillion
* Agricultural incomes are under stress
Disinvestment
* Government targets Rs 410 billion from stake sales in companies
* Total stake sale in 2015/16 seen at Rs 695 billion
Market reforms
* Propose to merge commodities regulator with SEBI
* To bring a new bankruptcy code
* Jaitley says will move to amend the RBI act this year, and provide for a monetary policy committee
* To set up public debt management agency
* Proposes to introduce a public contract resolution of disputes bill
* To establish an autonomous bank board bureau to improve management of public sector banks
Policy reforms
* To enact a comprehensive new law on black money
* Propose to create a universal social security system for all Indians
* To launch a national skills mission soon to enhance employability of rural youth
* To raise visa-on-arrival facility to 150 countries from 43
* Allocates Rs 346.99 billion for rural employment guarantee scheme
Borrowing
* Gross market borrowing seen at Rs 6 trillion
* Net market borrowing seen at Rs 4.56 trillion
General anti-avoidance rules (GAAR)
* Government defers rollout of anti-tax avoidance rules GAAR by two years
* GAAR to apply prospectively from April 1, 2017
* Retrospective tax provisions will be avoided
Taxation
* To abolish wealth tax
* Replaces wealth tax with additional 2 per cent surcharge on super rich
* Proposes to cut to 25 per cent corporate tax over next four years
* Corporate tax of 30 per cent is uncompetitive
* Net gain from tax proposals seen at Rs 150.68 billion
* Proposes to rationalise capital gains tax regime for real estate investment trusts
* Expects to implement goods and services tax by April 2016
* To reduce custom duty on 22 items
* Basic custom duty on commercial vehicle doubled to 20 per cent
* Proposes to increase service tax rate and education cess to 14 per cent from 12.36 per cent
* Exemptions for individual tax payers to continue
* To enact tough penalties for tax evasion in new bill
* Tax department to clarify indirect transfer of assets and dividend paid by foreign firms
Infrastructure
* Investment in infrastructure will go up by Rs 700 billion in 2015/16 over last year
* Plans to set up national investment infrastructure fund
* Proposes tax-free infrastructure bonds for projects in roads, rail and irrigation projects
* Proposes 5 "ultra mega" power projects for 4,000MW each
* Second unit of Kudankulam nuclear power station to be commissioned
* Will need to build additional 100,000km of road
* Ports in public sector will be encouraged to corporatise under Companies Act
Expenditure
* Plan expenditure estimated at about Rs 4.65 trillion
* Non-plan expenditure seen at about Rs 13.12 trillion
* Allocates Rs 2.46 trillion for defence spending
* Allocates Rs 331.5 billion for health sector
* If revenue improves, hope to raise budgeted allocations for rural job scheme by Rs 50 billion
Investment
* Propose to do away with different types of foreign investment caps and replace them with composite caps
* To allow foreign investment in alternative investment funds
* Public investment needed to catalyse investment
Gold
* To develop a sovereign gold bond
* To introduce gold monetisation scheme to allow depositors to earn interest
* To introduce Indian-made gold coin to reduce demand for foreign gold coins
Subsidies
* Food subsidy seen at Rs 1.24 trillion
* Fertiliser subsidy seen at Rs 729.69 billion
* Fuel subsidy seen at Rs 300 billion
* We are committed to subsidy rationalisation based on cutting leakages

Finance minister's comments
* "We inherited a sentiment of doom and gloom. The investment community had almost written us off. We have come a long way since then."
* "We have turned around the economy, dramatically restoring macroeconomic stability and creating the conditions for sustainable poverty elimination, job creation, durable double digit economic growth."


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